The Netherlands are still flawless in their qualification attempt for the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. That suggests superiority in this group, but the reality is somewhat different. There have been a few games in which Holland was lucky to win and could have just as easily dropped a few points.
The squad is under construction with a lot of young players from the national Eredivisie being part of it. For this game against Romania Sneijder will be missing. Romania is in the middle of a heavy battle with Hungary for second place, so they would be happy to take anything they can from this match. Surely Holland are favorites, but the odds on the home-win are not telling the truth at all, in my opinion.
Therefore value lies in opposing The Netherlands, which I will do by backing the draw.
Draw odd 5,25 @ Unibet, 2 units
Result 4-0, bet wrong.
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